By: Ryan Myers · 2d
Photo: Jeff Liang
RHP - UC Santa Barbara
Class: Jr
Ht/Wt: 6’ 2” / 190 lbs
Pitch Mix:
FB - 94-96 mph
CH - 88-90 mph
SL - 86-88 mph
Tyler Bremner is one of the top pitching prospects in this year’s draft and is projected as the first righty off the board in most mocks. He attended Scripps Ranch High School in San Diego, California, where he earned 4 varsity letters. His senior season was impressive as he posted a sub 1.00 ERA, garnering attention from many colleges. Bremner ultimately decided to attend UC Santa Barbara to further his baseball career.
As a freshman with Santa Barbara, Bremner was forced into multiple roles which made for an inconsistent workload. He made 17 appearances, including 8 starts. He posted a record of 5-4 with a 5.37 ERA while also earning 4 saves on the year. In 55.1 innings of work, he walked just 17 batters while striking out 80. This K/BB ratio and solid all-around performance earned the confidence of his coaching staff, especially when considering how many times his role changed throughout the season.
As a sophomore, Bremner was able to step into a bigger role as a starter and long reliever when the UCSB rotation was dealing with on-field struggles and injuries. He made 19 appearances, including 9 starts, posting a record of 11-1. In 88.2 innings, Bremner walked just 21 batters and struck out 104 while posting a 2.54 ERA. His performance put him on the radar for this year’s draft and solidified him as the new ace for the UCSB rotation.
Bremner’s pitch mix consists of a fastball, changeup and slider. His fastball sits at 94-96 mph and has hit 98 mph on good days. It has great carry through the zone, making it an effective pitch up in the zone, and allows it to miss more bats than some of his peers’ fastballs. His changeup has been labeled as his best offering as it stays on the fastball plane for a long time before dropping hard to his arm side. He is very comfortable throwing this pitch to any hitter in almost
any count to create whiffs, rollovers, and K’s. His slider also has the potential to be a plus pitch in pro ball but is graded lower than both his fastball and changeup. Nonetheless, having three pitches which project well in pro ball is a very valuable trait.
Strengths
● Easy Velocity
● Command
● Pitch Tunneling
Bremner’s still growing velocity and impressive command are some of his traits that scouts value in a potential top-5 pick. His K/BB ratio over his college career has been impressive and has improved over the years. Another thing the scouts have noticed is the before-mentioned tunneling of his changeup off of the fastball. The two pitches come out of his hand on the same plane and stay on that plane for about 50 feet before the changeup shows its drastic movement. This is part of the reason he is so confident in the changeup and why he can throw it to any batter in any count.
Weaknesses
● Durability
● Limited Pitch Mix
Bremner’s durability has not been truly tested yet during his college years, as he has not gone a full season as a starter. This year is his first time in a full-time starting role in college and is a good indicator of his ability to throw tons of innings over a season. He also has a limited 3-pitch arsenal, which teams will likely ask him to add to if he is to remain a starter as a pro.
Final Analysis
Bremner has a solid build for a pro pitcher standing at 6 foot 2. His stature is part of the reason he can throw his fastball up to 98 mph. His three-quarter arm slot is typical for a changeup-reliant pitcher and gives his changeup more tilt than some of his peers can create. His one-two punch with the fastball-changeup combo has been super effective over his college career and should continue to be as he transitions to pro ball. Jamie Arnold may be the top pitching prospect in the draft, but one team will be very happy to draft Bremner, most likely in the top 5 picks of this summer’s draft.
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