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Read The Room: Jacksonville Jaguars 2026 Fantasy Football Breakdown

The Jaguars May Have Been the Biggest Surprise in Football in 2025

By: Alex Kamke · 1hr

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Jacksonville won 13 games, took the AFC South, and pushed Buffalo to the wire in the playoffs. That's not a fluke season, that's a new baseline. Trevor Lawrence finally delivered on his potential, the defense ranked top-five, and Liam Coen proved his system works. With continuity across the roster and coaching staff, the Jaguars are loaded with fantasy value up and down the lineup, and most of their stars are still being drafted like they haven't arrived yet.

ESPN FPI Ranking: 25

Jacksonville finished 13-4, won the AFC South, and pushed the Bills to the brink in the Wild Card round. While Buffalo's playoff experience ultimately made the difference, Liam Coen's first season couldn't have gone much better.

Across the board, the Jaguars produced. They finished with the No. 4 fantasy defense, Trevor Lawrence finally delivered a top-five fantasy quarterback season, and Travis Etienne remained an RB1 for most of the year. The wide receiver room was the only group that felt somewhat underwhelming, although Parker Washington became one of the biggest bright spots with three WR1 finishes during the fantasy playoffs.

I'll be the first to admit I wasn't buying into Jacksonville heading into 2025. Coen completely changed my opinion. With continuity throughout the coaching staff and roster, I'm all-in on the Jaguars entering 2026.

Quarterbacks

I believe Trevor Lawrence has finally put the inconsistency behind him. More importantly, Jacksonville has surrounded him with one of the deepest groups of pass catchers in the AFC.

One of Lawrence's biggest strengths is his availability. Dating back to high school, he's missed just five games because of injury. Durability matters in fantasy, and Lawrence gives you one of the safest weekly floors at the position.

Currently being drafted around QB11 on Sleeper, I think Lawrence easily outperforms that price. Landing a quarterback with legitimate top-five upside in the eighth round is one of my favorite values this draft season.

Running Backs

There's been plenty of discussion surrounding Jacksonville's backfield, and I think we're overthinking it.

Everyone wants to believe in Bhayshul Tuten but seems hesitant to pull the trigger. I'm here to tell you that we're making this situation more complicated than it needs to be.

Draft Tuten.

He finished his rookie season around RB53 despite never playing more than one-third of the offensive snaps in a game. Even in that limited role, he produced three RB2 finishes and scored six total touchdowns.

The biggest thing people overlook is what Jacksonville didn't do.

The Jaguars had the salary cap flexibility to keep Travis Etienne if they wanted to. Instead, they let him walk. That tells me everything I need to know about how this organization views Tuten.

Chris Rodriguez is already dealing with an injury, and reports indicate it could be a Jones fracture requiring surgery. That further clears the path for Tuten to dominate early-down work.

Will he lose passing-down snaps? Probably.

Will he lose some third-down opportunities? Probably.

But that's okay. Liam Coen has consistently leaned on explosive runners, and I believe Tuten will handle well over 70% of the rushing attempts while pushing for double-digit touchdowns. He's one of my favorite breakout running backs in fantasy football.

Wide Receivers

On paper, Jacksonville's receiver room looks crowded. In reality, I think it's much simpler than people are making it.

Brian Thomas Jr. is the alpha. Parker Washington is the WR2. Jakobi Meyers is the reliable chain mover. Travis Hunter is the matchup weapon.

Brian Thomas Jr. battled through injuries throughout 2025 after finishing as a top-five fantasy receiver as a rookie, yet he never played fewer than 65% of the offensive snaps when active.

Parker Washington quietly proved he belongs. He played at least 50% of the offensive snaps nine times and made the most of every opportunity, including three WR1 performances during the fantasy playoffs as stated before.

The Jaguars didn't trade for Jakobi Meyers to become their WR1. They brought him in to keep the offense on schedule. He's Trevor Lawrence's dependable underneath option and one of the safest PPR depth receivers in fantasy.

Travis Hunter is expected to play primarily cornerback, but I still expect him to see roughly 20% of Jacksonville's offensive snaps, especially in games where the Jaguars need more explosive plays through the air.

Jacksonville also ranked fifth in the NFL in 12 personnel usage last season. After drafting two additional tight ends and extending Brenton Strange, I fully expect that trend to continue.

That doesn't concern me. Brian Thomas Jr. rarely leaves the field and Parker Washington has already shown he can produce without playing every snap. Meyers fills a completely different role.

I am drafting Brian Thomas Jr. every chance I get.

I'm trading for him every chance I get.

We've already seen him finish as the WR4, and I'm not convinced we've seen his ceiling yet. A receiver with that kind of upside being drafted in the sixth or seventh round is simply too good of a value to ignore.

Washington is someone I'm comfortable drafting as my WR3, and I have no issue adding Meyers as a reliable bench receiver in PPR leagues.

But make no mistake, Brian Thomas Jr. is the Jaguar you want.

Tight Ends

Brenton Strange isn't a player I'm overly excited about, and I don't think many fantasy managers are either.

Still, there's value here.

He finished as the TE23 overall and TE19 in points per game while playing over 70% of Jacksonville's offensive snaps whenever healthy. The Jaguars also rewarded him with a contract extension this offseason, making it clear they envision a meaningful role for him moving forward.

The concern is volume. Strange generally needs six or more targets to become a viable fantasy starter, and Jacksonville added two more tight ends in this year's draft.

I'm comfortable drafting him as my TE2 in the 11th or 12th round, but I'm not expecting a major breakout.

Final Thoughts

Jacksonville feels like one of the safest bets to outperform expectations again in 2026.

The coaching staff returns intact. Trevor Lawrence finally looks like the quarterback everyone expected him to become. The roster improved around him, and nearly every fantasy-relevant player is still being drafted below their realistic ceiling.

This team isn't rebuilding anymore.

They're ready to compete.

Read the Room

The Jaguars didn't overachieve in 2025; they announced their arrival. Most of their fantasy stars are still being drafted closer to their floor than their ceiling, making Jacksonville one of my favorite teams to invest in this season.

I will continue to break down organizational environments team by team as the offseason continues. Please leave a comment for more in-depth analysis, and don’t forget to check out Fantasy Football 4 Everyone on Spotify & YouTube. Also check out more content on instagram @fantasyfootball4everyone.

Sources: ESPN NFL FPI, Sleeper


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About the Author

Alex Kamke

Alex Kamke

Fantasy SportsFootballNFL

Co-Host & Co-Founder of Fantasy Football 4 Everyone. 10+ Years Podcast Experience 14+ Years Fantasy Football Experience. Avid Packer Fan & Fantasy Football Addict

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